Ugar Sugar Works Intrinsic Value

UGARSUGAR • Consumer Goods
Current Stock Price
₹41.35
Primary Intrinsic Value
₹103.38
Market Cap
₹45.5 Cr
+150.0% Upside
Median Value
₹103.38
Value Range
₹83 - ₹103
Assessment
Trading Below Calculated Value
Safety Margin
60.0%

UGARSUGAR Valuation Methods Summary

Method Type Intrinsic Value Range Upside/Downside Details
Book Value Method asset ₹103.38 ₹93.04 - ₹113.72 +150.0% Book Value/Share: ₹200.91, P/B: 2.5x
Revenue Multiple Method revenue ₹82.70 ₹74.43 - ₹90.97 +100.0% Revenue/Share: ₹865.45, P/S: 1.5x
Simple DCF (5Y) dcf ₹103.38 ₹82.70 - ₹124.06 +150.0% CF Growth: 15.0%, Discount: 15%
Method Types: Earnings Asset DCF Growth Dividend Conservative

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Valuation Comparison Chart

UGARSUGAR Intrinsic Value Analysis

What is the intrinsic value of UGARSUGAR?

Based on our comprehensive analysis using 3 different valuation methods, the estimated intrinsic value of Ugar Sugar Works (UGARSUGAR) is ₹103.38 (median value). With the current market price of ₹41.35, this represents a +150.0% variance from our estimated fair value.

The valuation range spans from ₹82.70 to ₹103.38, indicating ₹82.70 - ₹103.38.

Is UGARSUGAR undervalued or overvalued?

Based on our multi-method analysis, Ugar Sugar Works (UGARSUGAR) appears to be trading below calculated value by approximately 150.0%.

Financial Health Analysis

Financial Metric Current Value Industry Benchmark Assessment Impact on Valuation
Current Ratio 4.12 Industry Standard: 2.0+ Above 2.0 Measures short-term liquidity capacity
Debt to Equity Ratio 4.14 Industry Standard: <0.5 Above 1.0 Indicates financial leverage level
Return on Equity -59.7% Industry Standard: 15%+ Below 10% Measures shareholder return efficiency
Operating Margin -9.0% Industry Standard: 20%+ Below 10% Indicates operational efficiency level
Asset Turnover Ratio 1.04x Industry Standard: 1.0x+ Above 1.0x Measures asset utilization efficiency

Cash Flow Quality Analysis

Period Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Cash Flow Quality Sustainability Score
March 2023 ₹394 Cr ₹370 Cr Positive Free Cash Flow 8/10
March 2022 ₹93 Cr ₹28 Cr Positive Free Cash Flow 7/10
March 2021 ₹-78 Cr ₹-81 Cr Negative Cash Flow 3/10
March 2020 ₹45 Cr ₹45 Cr Positive Free Cash Flow 8/10