TCPL Packaging Intrinsic Value

TCPLPACK • Industrial Products
Current Stock Price
₹2864.10
Primary Intrinsic Value
₹1514.88
Market Cap
₹2578 Cr
-50.2% Downside
Median Value
₹1425.65
Value Range
₹716 - ₹1811
Assessment
Trading Above Calculated Value
Safety Margin
-100.0%

TCPLPACK Valuation Methods Summary

Method Type Intrinsic Value Range Upside/Downside Details
P/E Based Valuation earnings ₹1514.88 ₹1211.90 - ₹1817.86 -47.1% EPS: ₹126.24, Sector P/E: 12x
Book Value Method asset ₹715.56 ₹644.00 - ₹787.12 -75.0% Book Value/Share: ₹715.56, P/B: 1.0x
Revenue Multiple Method revenue ₹1639.11 ₹1475.20 - ₹1803.02 -42.8% Revenue/Share: ₹2048.89, P/S: 0.8x
EBITDA Multiple Method earnings ₹1811.39 ₹1630.25 - ₹1992.53 -36.8% EBITDA: ₹280.00Cr, EV/EBITDA: 6x
Simple DCF (5Y) dcf ₹1351.94 ₹1081.55 - ₹1622.33 -52.8% CF Growth: 4.6%, Discount: 15%
PEG Ratio Method growth ₹859.23 ₹773.31 - ₹945.15 -70.0% EPS Growth: 8.0%, Fair P/E: 6.4x
Growth Adjusted P/E growth ₹1040.22 ₹936.20 - ₹1144.24 -63.7% Revenue Growth: 6.0%, Adj P/E: 8.2x
ROE Based Valuation profitability ₹1804.44 ₹1624.00 - ₹1984.88 -37.0% ROE: 18.0%, P/E Multiple: 14x
Graham Defensive Method conservative ₹1425.65 ₹1283.09 - ₹1568.22 -50.2% EPS: ₹126.24, BVPS: ₹715.56
Method Types: Earnings Asset DCF Growth Dividend Conservative

Want to compare with current market value? Check TCPLPACK share price latest .

Valuation Comparison Chart

TCPLPACK Intrinsic Value Analysis

What is the intrinsic value of TCPLPACK?

Based on our comprehensive analysis using 9 different valuation methods, the estimated intrinsic value of TCPL Packaging (TCPLPACK) is ₹1425.65 (median value). With the current market price of ₹2864.10, this represents a -50.2% variance from our estimated fair value.

The valuation range spans from ₹715.56 to ₹1811.39, indicating ₹715.56 - ₹1811.39.

Is TCPLPACK undervalued or overvalued?

Based on our multi-method analysis, TCPL Packaging (TCPLPACK) appears to be trading above calculated value by approximately 50.2%.

Financial Health Analysis

Financial Metric Current Value Industry Benchmark Assessment Impact on Valuation
Current Ratio 2.04 Industry Standard: 2.0+ Above 2.0 Measures short-term liquidity capacity
Debt to Equity Ratio 2.50 Industry Standard: <0.5 Above 1.0 Indicates financial leverage level
Return on Equity 18.0% Industry Standard: 15%+ Above 15% Measures shareholder return efficiency
Operating Margin 14.0% Industry Standard: 20%+ Above 10% Indicates operational efficiency level
Asset Turnover Ratio 1.14x Industry Standard: 1.0x+ Above 1.0x Measures asset utilization efficiency

Cash Flow Quality Analysis

Period Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Cash Flow Quality Sustainability Score
March 2025 ₹133 Cr ₹58 Cr Positive Free Cash Flow 7/10
March 2024 ₹234 Cr ₹156 Cr Positive Free Cash Flow 8/10
March 2023 ₹109 Cr ₹64 Cr Positive Free Cash Flow 8/10
March 2022 ₹97 Cr ₹-1 Cr Positive Operating Cash Flow 6/10
March 2021 ₹111 Cr ₹91 Cr Positive Free Cash Flow 8/10