Tamil Nadu Newsprint & Papers Intrinsic Value

TNPL • Forest Materials
Current Stock Price
₹133.19
Primary Intrinsic Value
₹51.60
Market Cap
₹919.0 Cr
+100.0% Upside
Median Value
₹266.38
Value Range
₹40 - ₹333
Assessment
Trading Below Calculated Value
Safety Margin
50.0%

TNPL Valuation Methods Summary

Method Type Intrinsic Value Range Upside/Downside Details
P/E Based Valuation earnings ₹51.60 ₹41.28 - ₹61.92 -61.3% EPS: ₹4.30, Sector P/E: 12x
Book Value Method asset ₹302.46 ₹272.21 - ₹332.71 +127.1% Book Value/Share: ₹302.46, P/B: 1.0x
Revenue Multiple Method revenue ₹266.38 ₹239.74 - ₹293.02 +100.0% Revenue/Share: ₹698.99, P/S: 0.8x
EBITDA Multiple Method earnings ₹266.38 ₹239.74 - ₹293.02 +100.0% EBITDA: ₹556.00Cr, EV/EBITDA: 6x
Simple DCF (5Y) dcf ₹332.98 ₹266.38 - ₹399.58 +150.0% CF Growth: 7.7%, Discount: 15%
PEG Ratio Method growth ₹68.80 ₹61.92 - ₹75.68 -48.3% EPS Growth: 20.0%, Fair P/E: 16.0x
Growth Adjusted P/E growth ₹39.96 ₹35.96 - ₹43.96 -70.0% Revenue Growth: 4.3%, Adj P/E: 8.2x
Graham Defensive Method conservative ₹171.07 ₹153.96 - ₹188.18 +28.4% EPS: ₹4.30, BVPS: ₹302.46
Method Types: Earnings Asset DCF Growth Dividend Conservative

Valuation Comparison Chart

TNPL Intrinsic Value Analysis

What is the intrinsic value of TNPL?

Based on our comprehensive analysis using 8 different valuation methods, the estimated intrinsic value of Tamil Nadu Newsprint & Papers (TNPL) is ₹266.38 (median value). With the current market price of ₹133.19, this represents a +100.0% variance from our estimated fair value.

The valuation range spans from ₹39.96 to ₹332.98, indicating ₹39.96 - ₹332.98.

Is TNPL undervalued or overvalued?

Based on our multi-method analysis, Tamil Nadu Newsprint & Papers (TNPL) appears to be trading below calculated value by approximately 100.0%.

Financial Health Analysis

Financial Metric Current Value Industry Benchmark Assessment Impact on Valuation
Current Ratio 1.25 Industry Standard: 2.0+ Below 1.5 Measures short-term liquidity capacity
Return on Equity 1.4% Industry Standard: 15%+ Below 10% Measures shareholder return efficiency
Operating Margin 8.0% Industry Standard: 20%+ Below 10% Indicates operational efficiency level
Asset Turnover Ratio 0.82x Industry Standard: 1.0x+ Above 0.5x Measures asset utilization efficiency

Cash Flow Quality Analysis

Period Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Cash Flow Quality Sustainability Score
March 2025 ₹570 Cr ₹489 Cr Positive Free Cash Flow 8/10
March 2024 ₹419 Cr ₹351 Cr Positive Free Cash Flow 8/10
March 2023 ₹809 Cr ₹757 Cr Positive Free Cash Flow 8/10
March 2022 ₹1,111 Cr ₹935 Cr Positive Free Cash Flow 8/10
March 2021 ₹423 Cr ₹82 Cr Positive Free Cash Flow 7/10