Hilton Metal Forging Intrinsic Value
HILTON • Industrial Products
Current Stock Price
₹21.61
Primary Intrinsic Value
₹39.60
Market Cap
₹45.4 Cr
+100.0%
Upside
Median Value
₹43.22
Value Range
₹13 - ₹59
Assessment
Trading Below Calculated Value
Safety Margin
50.0%
HILTON Valuation Methods Summary
| Method | Type | Intrinsic Value | Range | Upside/Downside | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| P/E Based Valuation | earnings | ₹39.60 | ₹31.68 - ₹47.52 | +83.2% | EPS: ₹3.30, Sector P/E: 12x |
| Book Value Method | asset | ₹47.62 | ₹42.86 - ₹52.38 | +120.4% | Book Value/Share: ₹47.62, P/B: 1.0x |
| Revenue Multiple Method | revenue | ₹43.22 | ₹38.90 - ₹47.54 | +100.0% | Revenue/Share: ₹109.52, P/S: 0.8x |
| EBITDA Multiple Method | earnings | ₹43.22 | ₹38.90 - ₹47.54 | +100.0% | EBITDA: ₹16.00Cr, EV/EBITDA: 6x |
| Simple DCF (5Y) | dcf | ₹13.26 | ₹10.61 - ₹15.91 | -38.6% | CF Growth: 5.0%, Discount: 15% |
| PEG Ratio Method | growth | ₹52.80 | ₹47.52 - ₹58.08 | +144.3% | EPS Growth: 20.0%, Fair P/E: 16.0x |
| Growth Adjusted P/E | growth | ₹28.38 | ₹25.54 - ₹31.22 | +31.3% | Revenue Growth: 15.0%, Adj P/E: 8.6x |
| ROE Based Valuation | profitability | ₹38.10 | ₹34.29 - ₹41.91 | +76.3% | ROE: 8.0%, P/E Multiple: 10x |
| Graham Defensive Method | conservative | ₹59.46 | ₹53.51 - ₹65.41 | +175.2% | EPS: ₹3.30, BVPS: ₹47.62 |
Method Types:
Earnings
Asset
DCF
Growth
Dividend
Conservative
Valuation Comparison Chart
HILTON Intrinsic Value Analysis
What is the intrinsic value of HILTON?
Based on our comprehensive analysis using 9 different valuation methods, the estimated intrinsic value of Hilton Metal Forging (HILTON) is ₹43.22 (median value). With the current market price of ₹21.61, this represents a +100.0% variance from our estimated fair value.
The valuation range spans from ₹13.26 to ₹59.46, indicating ₹13.26 - ₹59.46.
Is HILTON undervalued or overvalued?
Based on our multi-method analysis, Hilton Metal Forging (HILTON) appears to be trading below calculated value by approximately 100.0%.
Financial Health Analysis
| Financial Metric | Current Value | Industry Benchmark | Assessment | Impact on Valuation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 8.25 | Industry Standard: 2.0+ | Above 2.0 | Measures short-term liquidity capacity |
| Return on Equity | 8.0% | Industry Standard: 15%+ | Below 10% | Measures shareholder return efficiency |
| Operating Margin | 6.0% | Industry Standard: 20%+ | Below 10% | Indicates operational efficiency level |
| Asset Turnover Ratio | 1.24x | Industry Standard: 1.0x+ | Above 1.0x | Measures asset utilization efficiency |
Related Pages for Hilton Metal Forging
Additional stock information and data for HILTON
Cash Flow Quality Analysis
| Period | Operating Cash Flow | Free Cash Flow | Cash Flow Quality | Sustainability Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| March 2025 | ₹3 Cr | ₹3 Cr | Positive Free Cash Flow | 8/10 |
| March 2024 | ₹10 Cr | ₹9 Cr | Positive Free Cash Flow | 8/10 |
| March 2023 | ₹-24 Cr | ₹-24 Cr | Negative Cash Flow | 3/10 |
| March 2022 | ₹10 Cr | ₹6 Cr | Positive Free Cash Flow | 8/10 |
| March 2021 | ₹0 Cr | ₹-1 Cr | Negative Cash Flow | 3/10 |