Titagarh Rail Systems Intrinsic Value

TITAGARH • Capital Goods
Current Stock Price
₹574.85
Primary Intrinsic Value
₹172.46
Market Cap
₹1552 Cr
-17.3% Downside
Median Value
₹475.44
Value Range
₹172 - ₹965
Assessment
Trading Above Median Value
Safety Margin
-20.9%

TITAGARH Valuation Methods Summary

Method Type Intrinsic Value Range Upside/Downside Details
P/E Based Valuation earnings ₹172.46 ₹137.97 - ₹206.95 -70.0% EPS: ₹10.92, Sector P/E: 12x
Book Value Method asset ₹920.00 ₹828.00 - ₹1012.00 +60.0% Book Value/Share: ₹920.00, P/B: 1.0x
Revenue Multiple Method revenue ₹964.74 ₹868.27 - ₹1061.21 +67.8% Revenue/Share: ₹1205.93, P/S: 0.8x
EBITDA Multiple Method earnings ₹782.22 ₹704.00 - ₹860.44 +36.1% EBITDA: ₹352.00Cr, EV/EBITDA: 6x
Simple DCF (5Y) dcf ₹333.98 ₹267.18 - ₹400.78 -41.9% CF Growth: 8.1%, Discount: 15%
PEG Ratio Method growth ₹172.46 ₹155.21 - ₹189.71 -70.0% EPS Growth: 8.0%, Fair P/E: 6.4x
Growth Adjusted P/E growth ₹172.46 ₹155.21 - ₹189.71 -70.0% Revenue Growth: 6.0%, Adj P/E: 8.2x
ROE Based Valuation profitability ₹548.15 ₹493.33 - ₹602.97 -4.6% ROE: 6.0%, P/E Multiple: 10x
Graham Defensive Method conservative ₹475.44 ₹427.90 - ₹522.98 -17.3% EPS: ₹10.92, BVPS: ₹920.00
Method Types: Earnings Asset DCF Growth Dividend Conservative

Valuation Comparison Chart

TITAGARH Intrinsic Value Analysis

What is the intrinsic value of TITAGARH?

Based on our comprehensive analysis using 9 different valuation methods, the estimated intrinsic value of Titagarh Rail Systems (TITAGARH) is ₹475.44 (median value). With the current market price of ₹574.85, this represents a -17.3% variance from our estimated fair value.

The valuation range spans from ₹172.46 to ₹964.74, indicating ₹172.46 - ₹964.74.

Is TITAGARH undervalued or overvalued?

Based on our multi-method analysis, Titagarh Rail Systems (TITAGARH) appears to be trading above median value by approximately 17.3%.

Financial Health Analysis

Financial Metric Current Value Industry Benchmark Assessment Impact on Valuation
Current Ratio 12.04 Industry Standard: 2.0+ Above 2.0 Measures short-term liquidity capacity
Return on Equity 6.0% Industry Standard: 15%+ Below 10% Measures shareholder return efficiency
Operating Margin 9.0% Industry Standard: 20%+ Below 10% Indicates operational efficiency level
Asset Turnover Ratio 0.87x Industry Standard: 1.0x+ Above 0.5x Measures asset utilization efficiency

Cash Flow Quality Analysis

Period Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Cash Flow Quality Sustainability Score
March 2025 ₹-97 Cr ₹-387 Cr Negative Cash Flow 3/10
March 2024 ₹86 Cr ₹-183 Cr Positive Operating Cash Flow 6/10
March 2023 ₹41 Cr ₹11 Cr Positive Free Cash Flow 7/10
March 2022 ₹55 Cr ₹19 Cr Positive Free Cash Flow 7/10
March 2021 ₹68 Cr ₹38 Cr Positive Free Cash Flow 8/10