Timken Intrinsic Value

TIMKEN • Industrial Products
Current Stock Price
₹3278.30
Primary Intrinsic Value
₹983.49
Market Cap
₹245.9K Cr
-70.0% Downside
Median Value
₹983.49
Value Range
₹656 - ₹1639
Assessment
Trading Above Calculated Value
Safety Margin
-100.0%

TIMKEN Valuation Methods Summary

Method Type Intrinsic Value Range Upside/Downside Details
P/E Based Valuation earnings ₹983.49 ₹786.79 - ₹1180.19 -70.0% EPS: ₹49.76, Sector P/E: 12x
Book Value Method asset ₹655.66 ₹590.09 - ₹721.23 -80.0% Book Value/Share: ₹379.33, P/B: 1.0x
Revenue Multiple Method revenue ₹983.49 ₹885.14 - ₹1081.84 -70.0% Revenue/Share: ₹425.07, P/S: 0.8x
EBITDA Multiple Method earnings ₹1311.32 ₹1180.19 - ₹1442.45 -60.0% EBITDA: ₹616.00Cr, EV/EBITDA: 6x
Simple DCF (5Y) dcf ₹1311.32 ₹1049.06 - ₹1573.58 -60.0% CF Growth: 15.0%, Discount: 15%
PEG Ratio Method growth ₹983.49 ₹885.14 - ₹1081.84 -70.0% EPS Growth: 8.0%, Fair P/E: 6.4x
Growth Adjusted P/E growth ₹983.49 ₹885.14 - ₹1081.84 -70.0% Revenue Growth: 6.0%, Adj P/E: 8.2x
ROE Based Valuation profitability ₹1639.15 ₹1475.24 - ₹1803.07 -50.0% ROE: 13.2%, P/E Multiple: 12x
Graham Defensive Method conservative ₹983.49 ₹885.14 - ₹1081.84 -70.0% EPS: ₹49.76, BVPS: ₹379.33
Method Types: Earnings Asset DCF Growth Dividend Conservative

Valuation Comparison Chart

TIMKEN Intrinsic Value Analysis

What is the intrinsic value of TIMKEN?

Based on our comprehensive analysis using 9 different valuation methods, the estimated intrinsic value of Timken (TIMKEN) is ₹983.49 (median value). With the current market price of ₹3278.30, this represents a -70.0% variance from our estimated fair value.

The valuation range spans from ₹655.66 to ₹1639.15, indicating ₹655.66 - ₹1639.15.

Is TIMKEN undervalued or overvalued?

Based on our multi-method analysis, Timken (TIMKEN) appears to be trading above calculated value by approximately 70.0%.

Financial Health Analysis

Financial Metric Current Value Industry Benchmark Assessment Impact on Valuation
Current Ratio 28.30 Industry Standard: 2.0+ Above 2.0 Measures short-term liquidity capacity
Return on Equity 13.2% Industry Standard: 15%+ Above 10% Measures shareholder return efficiency
Operating Margin 18.0% Industry Standard: 20%+ Above 10% Indicates operational efficiency level
Asset Turnover Ratio 0.93x Industry Standard: 1.0x+ Above 0.5x Measures asset utilization efficiency

Cash Flow Quality Analysis

Period Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Cash Flow Quality Sustainability Score
March 2025 ₹387 Cr ₹219 Cr Positive Free Cash Flow 8/10
March 2024 ₹340 Cr ₹226 Cr Positive Free Cash Flow 8/10
March 2023 ₹341 Cr ₹319 Cr Positive Free Cash Flow 8/10
March 2022 ₹33 Cr ₹-5 Cr Positive Operating Cash Flow 6/10
March 2021 ₹189 Cr ₹156 Cr Positive Free Cash Flow 8/10