Oriental Rail Infrastructure Intrinsic Value

ORIRAIL • Industrial Products
Current Stock Price
₹150.45
Primary Intrinsic Value
₹76.32
Market Cap
₹105.3 Cr
+77.0% Upside
Median Value
₹266.34
Value Range
₹45 - ₹376
Assessment
Trading Below Calculated Value
Safety Margin
43.5%

ORIRAIL Valuation Methods Summary

Method Type Intrinsic Value Range Upside/Downside Details
P/E Based Valuation earnings ₹76.32 ₹61.06 - ₹91.58 -49.3% EPS: ₹6.36, Sector P/E: 12x
Book Value Method asset ₹376.12 ₹338.51 - ₹413.73 +150.0% Book Value/Share: ₹495.71, P/B: 1.0x
Revenue Multiple Method revenue ₹300.90 ₹270.81 - ₹330.99 +100.0% Revenue/Share: ₹765.71, P/S: 0.8x
EBITDA Multiple Method earnings ₹300.90 ₹270.81 - ₹330.99 +100.0% EBITDA: ₹92.00Cr, EV/EBITDA: 6x
Simple DCF (5Y) dcf ₹79.58 ₹63.66 - ₹95.50 -47.1% CF Growth: 5.0%, Discount: 15%
PEG Ratio Method growth ₹45.13 ₹40.62 - ₹49.64 -70.0% EPS Growth: 8.0%, Fair P/E: 6.4x
Growth Adjusted P/E growth ₹52.41 ₹47.17 - ₹57.65 -65.2% Revenue Growth: 6.0%, Adj P/E: 8.2x
ROE Based Valuation profitability ₹300.90 ₹270.81 - ₹330.99 +100.0% ROE: 12.7%, P/E Multiple: 12x
Graham Defensive Method conservative ₹266.34 ₹239.71 - ₹292.97 +77.0% EPS: ₹6.36, BVPS: ₹495.71
Method Types: Earnings Asset DCF Growth Dividend Conservative

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Valuation Comparison Chart

ORIRAIL Intrinsic Value Analysis

What is the intrinsic value of ORIRAIL?

Based on our comprehensive analysis using 9 different valuation methods, the estimated intrinsic value of Oriental Rail Infrastructure (ORIRAIL) is ₹266.34 (median value). With the current market price of ₹150.45, this represents a +77.0% variance from our estimated fair value.

The valuation range spans from ₹45.13 to ₹376.12, indicating ₹45.13 - ₹376.12.

Is ORIRAIL undervalued or overvalued?

Based on our multi-method analysis, Oriental Rail Infrastructure (ORIRAIL) appears to be trading below calculated value by approximately 77.0%.

Financial Health Analysis

Financial Metric Current Value Industry Benchmark Assessment Impact on Valuation
Current Ratio 7.38 Industry Standard: 2.0+ Above 2.0 Measures short-term liquidity capacity
Debt to Equity Ratio 2.05 Industry Standard: <0.5 Above 1.0 Indicates financial leverage level
Return on Equity 12.7% Industry Standard: 15%+ Above 10% Measures shareholder return efficiency
Operating Margin 16.0% Industry Standard: 20%+ Above 10% Indicates operational efficiency level
Asset Turnover Ratio 0.75x Industry Standard: 1.0x+ Above 0.5x Measures asset utilization efficiency

Cash Flow Quality Analysis

Period Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Cash Flow Quality Sustainability Score
March 2025 ₹-24 Cr ₹-29 Cr Negative Cash Flow 3/10
March 2024 ₹6 Cr ₹4 Cr Positive Free Cash Flow 8/10
March 2023 ₹-44 Cr ₹-56 Cr Negative Cash Flow 3/10
March 2022 ₹3 Cr ₹-5 Cr Positive Operating Cash Flow 6/10
March 2021 ₹56 Cr ₹53 Cr Positive Free Cash Flow 8/10