National Fertilizers Intrinsic Value
National Fertilizers (NFL) median intrinsic value is ₹140.60 from 9 valuation models (range ₹58–₹176), vs current price ₹70.30 — +100.0% upside (Trading Below Calculated Value), margin of safety 50.0%. Read NFL ex-dividend dates for the complete payout history and dividend yield track record.
NFL Valuation Methods Summary — DCF, Graham Number & P/E
National Fertilizers intrinsic value across 9 models vs current price ₹70.30 — upside/downside and value range per method. For current market price and key ratios, visit National Fertilizers share price chart.
| Method | Type | Intrinsic Value | Range | Upside/Downside | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| P/E Based Valuation | earnings | ₹148.32 | ₹118.66 - ₹177.98 | +111.0% | EPS: ₹12.36, Sector P/E: 12x |
| Book Value Method | asset | ₹57.86 | ₹52.07 - ₹63.65 | -17.7% | Book Value/Share: ₹57.86, P/B: 1.0x |
| Revenue Multiple Method | revenue | ₹140.60 | ₹126.54 - ₹154.66 | +100.0% | Revenue/Share: ₹357.88, P/S: 0.8x |
| EBITDA Multiple Method | earnings | ₹140.60 | ₹126.54 - ₹154.66 | +100.0% | EBITDA: ₹1468.00Cr, EV/EBITDA: 6x |
| Simple DCF (5Y) | dcf | ₹175.75 | ₹140.60 - ₹210.90 | +150.0% | CF Growth: 5.0%, Discount: 15% |
| PEG Ratio Method | growth | ₹79.10 | ₹71.19 - ₹87.01 | +12.5% | EPS Growth: 8.0%, Fair P/E: 6.4x |
| Growth Adjusted P/E | growth | ₹101.85 | ₹91.66 - ₹112.03 | +44.9% | Revenue Growth: 6.0%, Adj P/E: 8.2x |
| ROE Based Valuation | profitability | ₹140.60 | ₹126.54 - ₹154.66 | +100.0% | ROE: 21.4%, P/E Multiple: 16x |
| Graham Defensive Method | conservative | ₹115.72 | ₹104.15 - ₹127.29 | +64.6% | EPS: ₹12.36, BVPS: ₹57.86 |
NFL Intrinsic Value vs Market Price — All Valuation Models
National Fertilizers fair value range ₹58–₹176 vs current market price ₹70.30 across 9 valuation models. Compare with NFL fair value estimate to assess whether the stock is under or overvalued.
NFL Intrinsic Value Analysis — Undervalued or Overvalued?
National Fertilizers median intrinsic value ₹140.60, current price ₹70.30 — Trading Below Calculated Value by 100.0%, margin of safety 50.0%.
What is the intrinsic value of NFL?
Based on our comprehensive analysis using 9 different valuation methods, the estimated intrinsic value of National Fertilizers (NFL) is ₹140.60 (median value). With the current market price of ₹70.30, this represents a +100.0% variance from our estimated fair value.
The valuation range spans from ₹57.86 to ₹175.75, indicating ₹57.86 - ₹175.75.
Is NFL undervalued or overvalued?
Based on our multi-method analysis, National Fertilizers (NFL) appears to be trading below calculated value by approximately 100.0%.
NFL Financial Health — Key Ratios vs Industry Benchmarks
National Fertilizers financial ratios — ROE, debt-to-equity, profit margins and liquidity vs industry benchmarks and their impact on intrinsic value.
| Financial Metric | Current Value | Industry Benchmark | Assessment | Impact on Valuation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 4.95 | Industry Standard: 2.0+ | Above 2.0 | Measures short-term liquidity capacity |
| Return on Equity | 21.4% | Industry Standard: 15%+ | Above 15% | Measures shareholder return efficiency |
| Operating Margin | 7.0% | Industry Standard: 20%+ | Below 10% | Indicates operational efficiency level |
| Asset Turnover Ratio | 1.50x | Industry Standard: 1.0x+ | Above 1.0x | Measures asset utilization efficiency |
NFL Cash Flow Quality — Operating & Free Cash Flow
National Fertilizers operating cash flow, free cash flow, quality rating and sustainability score by period — key inputs to DCF intrinsic value calculation.
| Period | Operating Cash Flow | Free Cash Flow | Cash Flow Quality | Sustainability Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| March 2025 | ₹2,590 Cr | ₹2,456 Cr | Positive Free Cash Flow | 8/10 |
| March 2024 | ₹668 Cr | ₹501 Cr | Positive Free Cash Flow | 8/10 |
| March 2023 | ₹-333 Cr | ₹-436 Cr | Negative Cash Flow | 3/10 |
| March 2022 | ₹-1,029 Cr | ₹-1,094 Cr | Negative Cash Flow | 3/10 |
| March 2021 | ₹7,021 Cr | ₹6,773 Cr | Positive Free Cash Flow | 8/10 |