National Fertilizers Intrinsic Value

NFL • Chemicals
Current Stock Price
₹73.19
Primary Intrinsic Value
₹55.32
Market Cap
₹3594 Cr
+100.0% Upside
Median Value
₹146.38
Value Range
₹55 - ₹183
Assessment
Trading Below Calculated Value
Safety Margin
50.0%

NFL Valuation Methods Summary

Method Type Intrinsic Value Range Upside/Downside Details
Book Value Method asset ₹55.32 ₹49.79 - ₹60.85 -24.4% Book Value/Share: ₹55.32, P/B: 1.0x
Revenue Multiple Method revenue ₹146.38 ₹131.74 - ₹161.02 +100.0% Revenue/Share: ₹552.18, P/S: 0.8x
EBITDA Multiple Method earnings ₹57.68 ₹51.91 - ₹63.45 -21.2% EBITDA: ₹472.00Cr, EV/EBITDA: 6x
Simple DCF (5Y) dcf ₹182.97 ₹146.38 - ₹219.56 +150.0% CF Growth: 5.0%, Discount: 15%
Method Types: Earnings Asset DCF Growth Dividend Conservative

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Valuation Comparison Chart

NFL Intrinsic Value Analysis

What is the intrinsic value of NFL?

Based on our comprehensive analysis using 4 different valuation methods, the estimated intrinsic value of National Fertilizers (NFL) is ₹146.38 (median value). With the current market price of ₹73.19, this represents a +100.0% variance from our estimated fair value.

The valuation range spans from ₹55.32 to ₹182.97, indicating ₹55.32 - ₹182.97.

Is NFL undervalued or overvalued?

Based on our multi-method analysis, National Fertilizers (NFL) appears to be trading below calculated value by approximately 100.0%.

Financial Health Analysis

Financial Metric Current Value Industry Benchmark Assessment Impact on Valuation
Current Ratio 2.93 Industry Standard: 2.0+ Above 2.0 Measures short-term liquidity capacity
Return on Equity -5.3% Industry Standard: 15%+ Below 10% Measures shareholder return efficiency
Operating Margin 2.0% Industry Standard: 20%+ Below 10% Indicates operational efficiency level
Asset Turnover Ratio 2.91x Industry Standard: 1.0x+ Above 1.0x Measures asset utilization efficiency

Cash Flow Quality Analysis

Period Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Cash Flow Quality Sustainability Score
March 2025 ₹2,590 Cr ₹2,456 Cr Positive Free Cash Flow 8/10
March 2024 ₹668 Cr ₹501 Cr Positive Free Cash Flow 8/10
March 2023 ₹-333 Cr ₹-436 Cr Negative Cash Flow 3/10
March 2022 ₹-1,029 Cr ₹-1,094 Cr Negative Cash Flow 3/10
March 2021 ₹7,021 Cr ₹6,773 Cr Positive Free Cash Flow 8/10