NALCO Intrinsic Value
NATIONALUM • Metals & Mining
Current Stock Price
₹411.75
Primary Intrinsic Value
₹373.92
Market Cap
₹378.0K Cr
-10.4%
Downside
Median Value
₹368.76
Value Range
₹155 - ₹859
Assessment
Trading Above Median Value
Safety Margin
-11.7%
NATIONALUM Valuation Methods Summary
| Method | Type | Intrinsic Value | Range | Upside/Downside | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| P/E Based Valuation | earnings | ₹373.92 | ₹299.14 - ₹448.70 | -9.2% | EPS: ₹31.16, Sector P/E: 12x |
| Book Value Method | asset | ₹193.95 | ₹174.56 - ₹213.34 | -52.9% | Book Value/Share: ₹193.95, P/B: 1.0x |
| Revenue Multiple Method | revenue | ₹154.91 | ₹139.42 - ₹170.40 | -62.4% | Revenue/Share: ₹193.64, P/S: 0.8x |
| EBITDA Multiple Method | earnings | ₹542.22 | ₹488.00 - ₹596.44 | +31.7% | EBITDA: ₹8296.00Cr, EV/EBITDA: 6x |
| Simple DCF (5Y) | dcf | ₹859.09 | ₹687.27 - ₹1030.91 | +108.6% | CF Growth: 15.0%, Discount: 15% |
| PEG Ratio Method | growth | ₹199.42 | ₹179.48 - ₹219.36 | -51.6% | EPS Growth: 8.0%, Fair P/E: 6.4x |
| Growth Adjusted P/E | growth | ₹256.76 | ₹231.08 - ₹282.44 | -37.6% | Revenue Growth: 6.0%, Adj P/E: 8.2x |
| ROE Based Valuation | profitability | ₹823.50 | ₹741.15 - ₹905.85 | +100.0% | ROE: 32.1%, P/E Multiple: 16x |
| Graham Defensive Method | conservative | ₹368.76 | ₹331.88 - ₹405.64 | -10.4% | EPS: ₹31.16, BVPS: ₹193.95 |
Method Types:
Earnings
Asset
DCF
Growth
Dividend
Conservative
Valuation Comparison Chart
NATIONALUM Intrinsic Value Analysis
What is the intrinsic value of NATIONALUM?
Based on our comprehensive analysis using 9 different valuation methods, the estimated intrinsic value of NALCO (NATIONALUM) is ₹368.76 (median value). With the current market price of ₹411.75, this represents a -10.4% variance from our estimated fair value.
The valuation range spans from ₹154.91 to ₹859.09, indicating ₹154.91 - ₹859.09.
Is NATIONALUM undervalued or overvalued?
Based on our multi-method analysis, NALCO (NATIONALUM) appears to be trading above median value by approximately 10.4%.
Financial Health Analysis
| Financial Metric | Current Value | Industry Benchmark | Assessment | Impact on Valuation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 5.79 | Industry Standard: 2.0+ | Above 2.0 | Measures short-term liquidity capacity |
| Return on Equity | 32.1% | Industry Standard: 15%+ | Above 15% | Measures shareholder return efficiency |
| Operating Margin | 45.0% | Industry Standard: 20%+ | Above 20% | Indicates operational efficiency level |
| Asset Turnover Ratio | 0.78x | Industry Standard: 1.0x+ | Above 0.5x | Measures asset utilization efficiency |
Related Pages for NALCO
Additional stock information and data for NATIONALUM
Cash Flow Quality Analysis
| Period | Operating Cash Flow | Free Cash Flow | Cash Flow Quality | Sustainability Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| March 2025 | ₹5,806 Cr | ₹3,821 Cr | Positive Free Cash Flow | 8/10 |
| March 2024 | ₹2,719 Cr | ₹1,719 Cr | Positive Free Cash Flow | 8/10 |
| March 2023 | ₹908 Cr | ₹741 Cr | Positive Free Cash Flow | 8/10 |
| March 2022 | ₹3,958 Cr | ₹2,649 Cr | Positive Free Cash Flow | 8/10 |
| March 2021 | ₹2,199 Cr | ₹1,497 Cr | Positive Free Cash Flow | 8/10 |