Kalyani Forge Intrinsic Value

KALYANIFRG • Industrial Products
Current Stock Price
₹624.25
Primary Intrinsic Value
₹250.80
Market Cap
₹249.7 Cr
-47.9% Downside
Median Value
₹325.28
Value Range
₹187 - ₹747
Assessment
Trading Above Calculated Value
Safety Margin
-91.9%

KALYANIFRG Valuation Methods Summary

Method Type Intrinsic Value Range Upside/Downside Details
P/E Based Valuation earnings ₹250.80 ₹200.64 - ₹300.96 -59.8% EPS: ₹20.90, Sector P/E: 12x
Book Value Method asset ₹225.00 ₹202.50 - ₹247.50 -64.0% Book Value/Share: ₹225.00, P/B: 1.0x
Revenue Multiple Method revenue ₹478.00 ₹430.20 - ₹525.80 -23.4% Revenue/Share: ₹597.50, P/S: 0.8x
EBITDA Multiple Method earnings ₹403.00 ₹362.70 - ₹443.30 -35.4% EBITDA: ₹27.00Cr, EV/EBITDA: 6x
Simple DCF (5Y) dcf ₹747.08 ₹597.66 - ₹896.50 +19.7% CF Growth: 15.0%, Discount: 15%
PEG Ratio Method growth ₹334.40 ₹300.96 - ₹367.84 -46.4% EPS Growth: 20.0%, Fair P/E: 16.0x
Growth Adjusted P/E growth ₹187.28 ₹168.55 - ₹206.01 -70.0% Revenue Growth: -0.9%, Adj P/E: 8.0x
ROE Based Valuation profitability ₹312.12 ₹280.91 - ₹343.33 -50.0% ROE: 8.9%, P/E Multiple: 10x
Graham Defensive Method conservative ₹325.28 ₹292.75 - ₹357.81 -47.9% EPS: ₹20.90, BVPS: ₹225.00
Method Types: Earnings Asset DCF Growth Dividend Conservative

Want to compare with current market value? Check KALYANIFRG share price latest .

Valuation Comparison Chart

KALYANIFRG Intrinsic Value Analysis

What is the intrinsic value of KALYANIFRG?

Based on our comprehensive analysis using 9 different valuation methods, the estimated intrinsic value of Kalyani Forge (KALYANIFRG) is ₹325.28 (median value). With the current market price of ₹624.25, this represents a -47.9% variance from our estimated fair value.

The valuation range spans from ₹187.28 to ₹747.08, indicating ₹187.28 - ₹747.08.

Is KALYANIFRG undervalued or overvalued?

Based on our multi-method analysis, Kalyani Forge (KALYANIFRG) appears to be trading above calculated value by approximately 47.9%.

Financial Health Analysis

Financial Metric Current Value Industry Benchmark Assessment Impact on Valuation
Current Ratio 7.40 Industry Standard: 2.0+ Above 2.0 Measures short-term liquidity capacity
Debt to Equity Ratio 2.56 Industry Standard: <0.5 Above 1.0 Indicates financial leverage level
Return on Equity 8.9% Industry Standard: 15%+ Below 10% Measures shareholder return efficiency
Operating Margin 11.0% Industry Standard: 20%+ Above 10% Indicates operational efficiency level
Asset Turnover Ratio 1.04x Industry Standard: 1.0x+ Above 1.0x Measures asset utilization efficiency

Cash Flow Quality Analysis

Period Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Cash Flow Quality Sustainability Score
March 2025 ₹22 Cr ₹10 Cr Positive Free Cash Flow 7/10
March 2024 ₹10 Cr ₹-3 Cr Positive Operating Cash Flow 6/10
March 2023 ₹-3 Cr ₹-6 Cr Negative Cash Flow 3/10
March 2022 ₹11 Cr ₹9 Cr Positive Free Cash Flow 8/10
March 2021 ₹7 Cr ₹7 Cr Positive Free Cash Flow 8/10