Happy Forgings Intrinsic Value
Happy Forgings (HAPPYFORGE) median intrinsic value is ₹945.03 from 10 valuation models (range ₹644–₹3181), vs current price ₹2148.30 — -56.0% downside (Trading Above Calculated Value), margin of safety -100.0%. See HAPPYFORGE book value to compare market price against book value per share.
HAPPYFORGE Valuation Methods Summary — DCF, Graham Number & P/E
Happy Forgings intrinsic value across 10 models vs current price ₹2148.30 — upside/downside and value range per method. Check Happy Forgings networth to track the company's total market size over time.
| Method | Type | Intrinsic Value | Range | Upside/Downside | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| P/E Based Valuation | earnings | ₹644.49 | ₹515.59 - ₹773.39 | -70.0% | EPS: ₹35.44, Sector P/E: 12x |
| Book Value Method | asset | ₹1120.00 | ₹1008.00 - ₹1232.00 | -47.9% | Book Value/Share: ₹1120.00, P/B: 1.0x |
| Revenue Multiple Method | revenue | ₹724.21 | ₹651.79 - ₹796.63 | -66.3% | Revenue/Share: ₹905.26, P/S: 0.8x |
| EBITDA Multiple Method | earnings | ₹1755.79 | ₹1580.21 - ₹1931.37 | -18.3% | EBITDA: ₹556.00Cr, EV/EBITDA: 6x |
| Simple DCF (5Y) | dcf | ₹3181.36 | ₹2545.09 - ₹3817.63 | +48.1% | CF Growth: 15.0%, Discount: 15% |
| PEG Ratio Method | growth | ₹644.49 | ₹580.04 - ₹708.94 | -70.0% | EPS Growth: 8.0%, Fair P/E: 6.4x |
| Growth Adjusted P/E | growth | ₹644.49 | ₹580.04 - ₹708.94 | -70.0% | Revenue Growth: 6.0%, Adj P/E: 8.2x |
| ROE Based Valuation | profitability | ₹2475.79 | ₹2228.21 - ₹2723.37 | +15.2% | ROE: 15.8%, P/E Multiple: 14x |
| Graham Defensive Method | conservative | ₹945.03 | ₹850.53 - ₹1039.53 | -56.0% | EPS: ₹35.44, BVPS: ₹1120.00 |
| Dividend Yield Method | dividend | ₹644.49 | ₹580.04 - ₹708.94 | -70.0% | DPS: ₹4.00, Target Yield: 3.5% |
HAPPYFORGE Intrinsic Value vs Market Price — All Valuation Models
Happy Forgings fair value range ₹644–₹3181 vs current market price ₹2148.30 across 10 valuation models. For current market price and key ratios, visit Happy Forgings share price screener.
HAPPYFORGE Intrinsic Value Analysis — Undervalued or Overvalued?
Happy Forgings median intrinsic value ₹945.03, current price ₹2148.30 — Trading Above Calculated Value by 56.0%, margin of safety -100.0%.
What is the intrinsic value of HAPPYFORGE?
Based on our comprehensive analysis using 10 different valuation methods, the estimated intrinsic value of Happy Forgings (HAPPYFORGE) is ₹945.03 (median value). With the current market price of ₹2148.30, this represents a -56.0% variance from our estimated fair value.
The valuation range spans from ₹644.49 to ₹3181.36, indicating ₹644.49 - ₹3181.36.
Is HAPPYFORGE undervalued or overvalued?
Based on our multi-method analysis, Happy Forgings (HAPPYFORGE) appears to be trading above calculated value by approximately 56.0%.
HAPPYFORGE Financial Health — Key Ratios vs Industry Benchmarks
Happy Forgings financial ratios — ROE, debt-to-equity, profit margins and liquidity vs industry benchmarks and their impact on intrinsic value.
| Financial Metric | Current Value | Industry Benchmark | Assessment | Impact on Valuation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 21.86 | Industry Standard: 2.0+ | Above 2.0 | Measures short-term liquidity capacity |
| Return on Equity | 15.8% | Industry Standard: 15%+ | Above 15% | Measures shareholder return efficiency |
| Operating Margin | 31.0% | Industry Standard: 20%+ | Above 20% | Indicates operational efficiency level |
| Asset Turnover Ratio | 0.65x | Industry Standard: 1.0x+ | Above 0.5x | Measures asset utilization efficiency |
HAPPYFORGE Cash Flow Quality — Operating & Free Cash Flow
Happy Forgings operating cash flow, free cash flow, quality rating and sustainability score by period — key inputs to DCF intrinsic value calculation.
| Period | Operating Cash Flow | Free Cash Flow | Cash Flow Quality | Sustainability Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| March 2026 | ₹445 Cr | ₹197 Cr | Positive Free Cash Flow | 7/10 |
| March 2025 | ₹292 Cr | ₹132 Cr | Positive Free Cash Flow | 7/10 |
| March 2024 | ₹189 Cr | ₹-46 Cr | Positive Operating Cash Flow | 6/10 |
| March 2023 | ₹210 Cr | ₹124 Cr | Positive Free Cash Flow | 8/10 |
| March 2022 | ₹80 Cr | ₹-3 Cr | Positive Operating Cash Flow | 6/10 |