Happy Forgings Intrinsic Value
HAPPYFORGE Valuation Methods Summary
| Method | Type | Intrinsic Value | Range | Upside/Downside | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| P/E Based Valuation | earnings | ₹373.92 | ₹299.14 - ₹448.70 | -68.1% | EPS: ₹31.16, Sector P/E: 12x |
| Book Value Method | asset | ₹973.68 | ₹876.31 - ₹1071.05 | -16.9% | Book Value/Share: ₹973.68, P/B: 1.0x |
| Revenue Multiple Method | revenue | ₹646.74 | ₹582.07 - ₹711.41 | -44.8% | Revenue/Share: ₹808.42, P/S: 0.8x |
| EBITDA Multiple Method | earnings | ₹1497.03 | ₹1347.33 - ₹1646.73 | +27.7% | EBITDA: ₹488.00Cr, EV/EBITDA: 6x |
| Simple DCF (5Y) | dcf | ₹2087.54 | ₹1670.03 - ₹2505.05 | +78.1% | CF Growth: 15.0%, Discount: 15% |
| PEG Ratio Method | growth | ₹351.60 | ₹316.44 - ₹386.76 | -70.0% | EPS Growth: 8.0%, Fair P/E: 6.4x |
| Growth Adjusted P/E | growth | ₹351.60 | ₹316.44 - ₹386.76 | -70.0% | Revenue Growth: 6.0%, Adj P/E: 8.2x |
| ROE Based Valuation | profitability | ₹2151.58 | ₹1936.42 - ₹2366.74 | +83.6% | ROE: 15.8%, P/E Multiple: 14x |
| Graham Defensive Method | conservative | ₹826.23 | ₹743.61 - ₹908.85 | -29.5% | EPS: ₹31.16, BVPS: ₹973.68 |
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Valuation Comparison Chart
HAPPYFORGE Intrinsic Value Analysis
What is the intrinsic value of HAPPYFORGE?
Based on our comprehensive analysis using 9 different valuation methods, the estimated intrinsic value of Happy Forgings (HAPPYFORGE) is ₹826.23 (median value). With the current market price of ₹1172.00, this represents a -29.5% variance from our estimated fair value.
The valuation range spans from ₹351.60 to ₹2151.58, indicating ₹351.60 - ₹2151.58.
Is HAPPYFORGE undervalued or overvalued?
Based on our multi-method analysis, Happy Forgings (HAPPYFORGE) appears to be trading above calculated value by approximately 29.5%.
Financial Health Analysis
| Financial Metric | Current Value | Industry Benchmark | Assessment | Impact on Valuation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 23.56 | Industry Standard: 2.0+ | Above 2.0 | Measures short-term liquidity capacity |
| Debt to Equity Ratio | 1.20 | Industry Standard: <0.5 | Above 1.0 | Indicates financial leverage level |
| Return on Equity | 15.8% | Industry Standard: 15%+ | Above 15% | Measures shareholder return efficiency |
| Operating Margin | 31.0% | Industry Standard: 20%+ | Above 20% | Indicates operational efficiency level |
| Asset Turnover Ratio | 0.69x | Industry Standard: 1.0x+ | Above 0.5x | Measures asset utilization efficiency |
Related Pages for Happy Forgings
Additional stock information and data for HAPPYFORGE
Cash Flow Quality Analysis
| Period | Operating Cash Flow | Free Cash Flow | Cash Flow Quality | Sustainability Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| March 2025 | ₹292 Cr | ₹132 Cr | Positive Free Cash Flow | 7/10 |
| March 2024 | ₹189 Cr | ₹-46 Cr | Positive Operating Cash Flow | 6/10 |
| March 2023 | ₹210 Cr | ₹124 Cr | Positive Free Cash Flow | 8/10 |
| March 2022 | ₹80 Cr | ₹-3 Cr | Positive Operating Cash Flow | 6/10 |
| March 2021 | ₹60 Cr | ₹31 Cr | Positive Free Cash Flow | 8/10 |