Bharat Petroleum Intrinsic Value
Bharat Petroleum (BPCL) median intrinsic value is ₹433.75 from 9 valuation models (range ₹188–₹642), vs current price ₹321.00 — +35.1% upside (Trading Below Calculated Value), margin of safety 26.0%. Analyse BPCL FII DII holdings to track promoter, FII and institutional holdings.
BPCL Valuation Methods Summary — DCF, Graham Number & P/E
Bharat Petroleum intrinsic value across 9 models vs current price ₹321.00 — upside/downside and value range per method. Read BPCL dividend track record for the complete payout history and dividend yield track record.
| Method | Type | Intrinsic Value | Range | Upside/Downside | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| P/E Based Valuation | earnings | ₹631.68 | ₹505.34 - ₹758.02 | +96.8% | EPS: ₹52.64, Sector P/E: 12x |
| Book Value Method | asset | ₹187.54 | ₹168.79 - ₹206.29 | -41.6% | Book Value/Share: ₹234.43, P/B: 0.8x |
| Revenue Multiple Method | revenue | ₹560.04 | ₹504.04 - ₹616.04 | +74.5% | Revenue/Share: ₹1120.07, P/S: 0.5x |
| EBITDA Multiple Method | earnings | ₹395.94 | ₹356.35 - ₹435.53 | +23.3% | EBITDA: ₹42296.00Cr, EV/EBITDA: 4x |
| Simple DCF (5Y) | dcf | ₹426.24 | ₹340.99 - ₹511.49 | +32.8% | CF Growth: 0.2%, Discount: 15% |
| PEG Ratio Method | growth | ₹336.90 | ₹303.21 - ₹370.59 | +5.0% | EPS Growth: 8.0%, Fair P/E: 6.4x |
| Growth Adjusted P/E | growth | ₹433.75 | ₹390.38 - ₹477.13 | +35.1% | Revenue Growth: 6.0%, Adj P/E: 8.2x |
| ROE Based Valuation | profitability | ₹642.00 | ₹577.80 - ₹706.20 | +100.0% | ROE: 22.5%, P/E Multiple: 16x |
| Graham Defensive Method | conservative | ₹468.85 | ₹421.97 - ₹515.74 | +46.1% | EPS: ₹52.64, BVPS: ₹234.43 |
BPCL Intrinsic Value vs Market Price — All Valuation Models
Bharat Petroleum fair value range ₹188–₹642 vs current market price ₹321.00 across 9 valuation models. For current market price and key ratios, visit Bharat Petroleum stock price NSE.
BPCL Intrinsic Value Analysis — Undervalued or Overvalued?
Bharat Petroleum median intrinsic value ₹433.75, current price ₹321.00 — Trading Below Calculated Value by 35.1%, margin of safety 26.0%.
What is the intrinsic value of BPCL?
Based on our comprehensive analysis using 9 different valuation methods, the estimated intrinsic value of Bharat Petroleum (BPCL) is ₹433.75 (median value). With the current market price of ₹321.00, this represents a +35.1% variance from our estimated fair value.
The valuation range spans from ₹187.54 to ₹642.00, indicating ₹187.54 - ₹642.00.
Is BPCL undervalued or overvalued?
Based on our multi-method analysis, Bharat Petroleum (BPCL) appears to be trading below calculated value by approximately 35.1%.
BPCL Financial Health — Key Ratios vs Industry Benchmarks
Bharat Petroleum financial ratios — ROE, debt-to-equity, profit margins and liquidity vs industry benchmarks and their impact on intrinsic value.
| Financial Metric | Current Value | Industry Benchmark | Assessment | Impact on Valuation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 1.95 | Industry Standard: 2.0+ | Above 1.5 | Measures short-term liquidity capacity |
| Return on Equity | 22.5% | Industry Standard: 15%+ | Above 15% | Measures shareholder return efficiency |
| Operating Margin | 8.0% | Industry Standard: 20%+ | Below 10% | Indicates operational efficiency level |
| Asset Turnover Ratio | 1.93x | Industry Standard: 1.0x+ | Above 1.0x | Measures asset utilization efficiency |
BPCL Cash Flow Quality — Operating & Free Cash Flow
Bharat Petroleum operating cash flow, free cash flow, quality rating and sustainability score by period — key inputs to DCF intrinsic value calculation.
| Period | Operating Cash Flow | Free Cash Flow | Cash Flow Quality | Sustainability Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| March 2025 | ₹23,678 Cr | ₹14,088 Cr | Positive Free Cash Flow | 8/10 |
| March 2024 | ₹35,936 Cr | ₹30,676 Cr | Positive Free Cash Flow | 8/10 |
| March 2023 | ₹12,466 Cr | ₹8,563 Cr | Positive Free Cash Flow | 8/10 |
| March 2022 | ₹20,336 Cr | ₹16,267 Cr | Positive Free Cash Flow | 8/10 |
| March 2021 | ₹23,455 Cr | ₹22,218 Cr | Positive Free Cash Flow | 8/10 |