Bharat Petroleum Intrinsic Value
Bharat Petroleum (BPCL) median intrinsic value is ₹426.24 from 9 valuation models (range ₹152–₹696), vs current price ₹303.90 — +40.3% upside (Trading Below Calculated Value), margin of safety 28.7%. For current market price and key ratios, visit BPCL stock price BSE.
BPCL Valuation Methods Summary — DCF, Graham Number & P/E
Bharat Petroleum intrinsic value across 9 models vs current price ₹303.90 — upside/downside and value range per method. Also explore BPCL share price history to track price trends across different timeframes.
| Method | Type | Intrinsic Value | Range | Upside/Downside | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| P/E Based Valuation | earnings | ₹695.52 | ₹556.42 - ₹834.62 | +128.9% | EPS: ₹57.96, Sector P/E: 12x |
| Book Value Method | asset | ₹152.37 | ₹137.13 - ₹167.61 | -49.9% | Book Value/Share: ₹190.46, P/B: 0.8x |
| Revenue Multiple Method | revenue | ₹498.42 | ₹448.58 - ₹548.26 | +64.0% | Revenue/Share: ₹996.84, P/S: 0.5x |
| EBITDA Multiple Method | earnings | ₹416.98 | ₹375.28 - ₹458.68 | +37.2% | EBITDA: ₹44544.00Cr, EV/EBITDA: 4x |
| Simple DCF (5Y) | dcf | ₹426.24 | ₹340.99 - ₹511.49 | +40.3% | CF Growth: 0.2%, Discount: 15% |
| PEG Ratio Method | growth | ₹370.94 | ₹333.85 - ₹408.03 | +22.1% | EPS Growth: 8.0%, Fair P/E: 6.4x |
| Growth Adjusted P/E | growth | ₹477.59 | ₹429.83 - ₹525.35 | +57.2% | Revenue Growth: 6.0%, Adj P/E: 8.2x |
| ROE Based Valuation | profitability | ₹607.80 | ₹547.02 - ₹668.58 | +100.0% | ROE: 30.4%, P/E Multiple: 16x |
| Graham Defensive Method | conservative | ₹380.92 | ₹342.83 - ₹419.01 | +25.3% | EPS: ₹57.96, BVPS: ₹190.46 |
BPCL Intrinsic Value vs Market Price — All Valuation Models
Bharat Petroleum fair value range ₹152–₹696 vs current market price ₹303.90 across 9 valuation models. Read BPCL dividend track record for the complete payout history and dividend yield track record.
BPCL Intrinsic Value Analysis — Undervalued or Overvalued?
Bharat Petroleum median intrinsic value ₹426.24, current price ₹303.90 — Trading Below Calculated Value by 40.3%, margin of safety 28.7%.
What is the intrinsic value of BPCL?
Based on our comprehensive analysis using 9 different valuation methods, the estimated intrinsic value of Bharat Petroleum (BPCL) is ₹426.24 (median value). With the current market price of ₹303.90, this represents a +40.3% variance from our estimated fair value.
The valuation range spans from ₹152.37 to ₹695.52, indicating ₹152.37 - ₹695.52.
Is BPCL undervalued or overvalued?
Based on our multi-method analysis, Bharat Petroleum (BPCL) appears to be trading below calculated value by approximately 40.3%.
BPCL Financial Health — Key Ratios vs Industry Benchmarks
Bharat Petroleum financial ratios — ROE, debt-to-equity, profit margins and liquidity vs industry benchmarks and their impact on intrinsic value.
| Financial Metric | Current Value | Industry Benchmark | Assessment | Impact on Valuation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 1.57 | Industry Standard: 2.0+ | Above 1.5 | Measures short-term liquidity capacity |
| Return on Equity | 30.4% | Industry Standard: 15%+ | Above 15% | Measures shareholder return efficiency |
| Operating Margin | 9.0% | Industry Standard: 20%+ | Below 10% | Indicates operational efficiency level |
| Asset Turnover Ratio | 1.95x | Industry Standard: 1.0x+ | Above 1.0x | Measures asset utilization efficiency |
BPCL Cash Flow Quality — Operating & Free Cash Flow
Bharat Petroleum operating cash flow, free cash flow, quality rating and sustainability score by period — key inputs to DCF intrinsic value calculation.
| Period | Operating Cash Flow | Free Cash Flow | Cash Flow Quality | Sustainability Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| March 2025 | ₹23,678 Cr | ₹14,088 Cr | Positive Free Cash Flow | 8/10 |
| March 2024 | ₹35,970 Cr | ₹30,693 Cr | Positive Free Cash Flow | 8/10 |
| March 2023 | ₹12,466 Cr | ₹8,563 Cr | Positive Free Cash Flow | 8/10 |
| March 2022 | ₹20,336 Cr | ₹16,267 Cr | Positive Free Cash Flow | 8/10 |
| March 2021 | ₹23,455 Cr | ₹22,218 Cr | Positive Free Cash Flow | 8/10 |